Layoffs everywhere so why can't you find me a Java guy?

How many of you recruiters are hearing that?  Bet it's flowing from a few managers and sales reps mouth lately. 

Yes, the number of layoffs have increased greatly lately.  BUT, companies DO use these times to get rid of dead wood and lower performing staff.  They don't let their best technical folks go unless they are desperate and close to shutting things down totally. 

Yes, at times there are very few situations that the good Java, J2EE talent is shown the door because of downturns in the business.  But you bet by the time they hit the parking lot, they have already called the recruiter that called them the previous week.  They won't be on the market long and probably won't even hit Monster to see what's out there. 

If a company has layoffs, I do believe the remaining folks do get nervous about their jobs too, and are susceptible to being recruited.  There also is a tendency for them to grab the bottom of their chairs and hold tighter.  Getting them to leave for a contract job is especially tough.  Another perm job from a company that has a good financial record or maybe a government job is a nice draw.

Even in a turn down, the basics remain.  Good talent will always have options and will change jobs if they know and trust the recruiter.  Talk to them often and build the relationship BEFORE you have the opportunity.